Fertility decline; no mystery
نویسنده
چکیده
The economic opportunity hypothesis states that perceived shrinkage of opportunity discourages women or couples from embarking on marriage or reproduction. On the contrary, the sense that opportunity is expanding encourages couples to raise their family-size target. The hypothesis assumes that humans are genetically programmed to maximize successful reproduction by having more offspring when environmental/economic conditions appear favorable, but exercise restraint — waiting or limiting the total number of offspring — if the latter strategy promises greater longrun success.
منابع مشابه
Fertility decline - Article - Australian Institute of Family Studies (AIFS)
Family Matters No.63 Spring/Summer 2002 Australian Institute of Family Studies 14 gradual fertility decline from 1.91 in 1990 to 1.73 in 2001. Overall, the fertility rate has halved from 3.55 to 1.73 in a period of just 40 years. Changes in fertility do not occur in isolation from other social, cultural and economic changes. Although it is often difficult to establish cause and effect patterns,...
متن کاملIslam, M. Mazharul; Mamun, Abdullah AI; Bairagi, Radeshayam : Fertility and Its Proximate Determinants in Bangladesh: Evidence from the 1993/94 demographic and health survey. Asia-Pacific Population
The recent decline in fertility in Bangladesh froin a total fertility rate of 6.3 children per women in 1975 to 3.5 in 1995 (MHPC, 1978:73; BBS, 1996) has created interest among researchers, policy makers and academicians. This is because such a dramatic change in fertility has occurred without a substantial improvement in socio-economic status, health conditions and otlier factors thought to b...
متن کاملChild Mortality and Fertility Decline: Does the Barro-Becker Model Fit the Facts?∗
I compare the predictions of three variants of the altruistic parent model of Barro and Becker for the relationship between child mortality and fertility. In the baseline model fertility choice is continuous, and there is no uncertainty over the number of surviving children. The baseline model is contrasted to an extension with discrete fertility choice and stochastic mortality and a setup with...
متن کاملThe Post-Communist Fertility Puzzle
Fertility has unanimously declined across the entire post-communist region. This study explores the variation in fertility trends over time among these countries and assesses to what degree three explanations are applicable: second demographic transition (SDT), postponement transition (PPT) or reaction to the economic crisis. Moreover, on the basis of SDT and PPT theoretical tenets, as well as ...
متن کاملRecent fertility decline in Eritrea: Is it a conflict-led transition?
During a period of military conflict towards the end of the 1990s, Eritrea experienced a remarkable decline in fertility. This decline has been a concern to many Eritreans. An important issue of concern has been whether the decline is driven primarily by the recent border conflict with Ethiopia or by changes in other factors including delay in age at marriage, improvements in child survival and...
متن کامل